Sunday @Gulfstream Park Wagering Selections P4/P5/Rainbow P6 Strategies ~ BUY AND DOWNLOAD

Sunday @Gulfstream Park  Wagering Selections P4/P5/Rainbow P6 Strategies ~ BUY AND DOWNLOAD
Sunday @Gulfstream Park Wagering Selections P4/P5/Rainbow P6 Strategies ~ BUY AND DOWNLOAD
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Today's Offering ~

What's up at Gulfstream Park?

If you followed us through the Breeders Cup we were able to identify track profile at Del Mar before it ever happened. We shared our experiences of over 25 years to predict how track would play on Breeders Cup Weekend. I think we nailed it.


This winter, at Gulfstream Park, we are working on the east coast equivalent of Del Mar. We feel we can apply some of the same principles we saw down in Southern California.


Gulfstream Park is located in Hallandale Florida. The track is itself is less than a mile from the Atlantic Ocean. Hallandale, and Broward County, is a foot or more below sea level. It is common that at high tide some areas of Broward County are prone to flooding.What's up at Gulfstream Park?

If you followed us through the Breeders Cup we were able to identify track profile at Del Mar before it ever happened. We shared our experiences of over 25 years to predict how track would play on Breeders Cup Weekend. I think we nailed it.

This winter, at Gulfstream Park, we are working on the east coast equivalent of Del Mar. We feel we can apply some of the same principles we saw down in Southern California.

Gulfstream Park is located in Hallandale Florida. The track is itself is less than a mile from the Atlantic Ocean. Hallandale, and Broward County, is a foot or more below sea level. It is common that at high tide some areas of Broward County are prone to flooding.

Gulfstream Park itself has to brace for flooding with a thunderstorm and high tide perfect storm scenario. Unlike Southern California tides that can vary as much as 7 feet from low to high, in Florida the difference can be up only 2 to 3 feet. However, Broward County, Hallandale Beach being below sea level, two feet is enough to create havoc.

Gulfstream Parks main track is susceptible to being affected by the tides and wind. Alike many tracks, water content in the main track surface is the KEY to a stable product in the morning and afternoon. Wind in combination with the sun can quickly dry out a surface and turn it loose and cuppy, which can be completely different than we saw few hours earlier.

Wind, for example, on Friday morning was light but coming from the south. A headwind in the stretch. Generally, wind comes from the east here. An eastern wind can push horses through the turn. As some exercise riders have told us ''it was like I was floating through the turn". We have experienced some very fast turn times in the eastern wind conditions in the morning and afternoon.

If the wind comes from the south, then there is a strong tailwind down the backstretch, making horses show more speed, and then a headwind through the stretch, which can hinder late runners who have to rally through the wall of wind late. We have experienced seeing and rating races that looked too fast for the level, as it was the wind causing the aberration.

Saturday Claiming Crown is ready for download.

To recap, if a wind comes from the south, the wind and heat dry the track out quicker than normal, thus being loose and cuppy. Speed dominates on such surfaces. If the wind comes from the north, a headwind down the backstretch and tailwind down the stretch, late runners can dominate being propelled from behind after speed fatigued itself into a headwind early. A crosswind can help speed, but cheap horses can be affected by wind while top horses cut right through it from wherever its coming from.

If that's not enough, prior to the Thanksgiving weekend Gulfstream added dirt on the main track, and having a chance to watch horses go over it we felt it wasn't as loose or as sandy as it had been in the past. Having said that, we have had some mild temps here in South Florida and with the high tides in the morning lately we felt there was plenty of moisture in the surface. With plenty of moisture in the surface horses tend to push off better behind, where as on a loose track horses can loose their hind end. The thoroughbreds hind end is what pushes a horses.

Same with Palm Meadows, the premiere training facility up the turnpike in Boynton Beach. The main track seemed faster.

I am very interested, however, how the track will deal with lack of moisture in the afternoon as we will have low tides, of 0 feet below normal during the races tomorrow in Hallandale. Thus, what we saw with cooler mornings may not be reflected in the afternoon under the sun.

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Speed is always dangerous, speed is horses best asset, and speed will always be the thoroughbreds best weapon.


Biases are always quickly declared when speed wins, however, speed is what makes a thoroughbred. What makes me cringe is when three speed horses go out, one prevails, the other two stop and someone declares that speed is good.


Saturday will not be definitive on how the track will play, as the Claiming Crown features hardened racing warriors, who know how to win.


In addition to watching how track plays, and we may see quicker times with a firmer main track, to fairly assess we must understand the run ups for each distance, as they differ from distance to distance, and of course, surface to surface.


One part of the turf course will have rails up, the inside no. Race 9 rails are out 72 feet but in Race 10, they are racing on the inner course at 0 feet. It will be interesting to see what the run ups are going to be and how they will differ. These differences in rail settings will make pace hard to decipher and compare at equal distances.


Wind, moisture in the surface, tides, run ups and rails are all factors a player must take into consideration in South Florida. Yes it can be overwhelming, but so was dealing with the tides at Del Mar. It's just another part of the puzzle


Cheers,


Bruno

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